Assessments conducted by ICCT on hydrogen technology remain defective and require necessary improvements for accuracy.
The International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) has recently released a report assessing road vehicle decarbonization in Europe, raising questions about its approach to hydrogen. Critics argue that the ICCT's analysis overlooks significant challenges associated with hydrogen, such as leakage along the entire supply chain, and may be biased towards the technology.
One of the main concerns is the ICCT's failure to accurately factor in hydrogen leakage, which can range from 4% at electrolysis plants to up to 5% during trucking. Additional leakage occurs at liquefaction facilities, pipeline transmission, refueling infrastructure, and onboard vehicle systems. Aggregating these emissions leads to total hydrogen losses ranging between 5% and 15% across typical supply chains.
The ICCT's preference for niche technologies like liquid hydrogen and rigid sails complicates their analyses and creates unrealistic scenarios that distort comparative technology assessments. This, coupled with a history of referencing their own papers and clear errors in the use of data, has led to concerns about methodological oversights and potential bias in the ICCT's hydrogen-related analyses.
The shift from using GWP100 (approximately 13 times that of CO2) to GWP20 (around 33 times that of CO2) drastically increases the significance of hydrogen leakage in lifecycle emissions calculations for fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs). Recalculating the ICCT's latest hydrogen vehicle LCA with these corrections provides a sobering perspective, with lifecycle emissions for FCEVs using renewable hydrogen potentially doubling the originally stated emissions.
The ICCT's report positions hydrogen FCEVs as a climate-friendly alternative, offering competitive emissions profiles relative to battery electric vehicles (BEVs). However, the report assesses passenger cars in 2025, a time when fuel cell cars are no longer considered seriously in Europe.
The stakes are high in accurately assessing hydrogen's climate impacts and costs. Continued underestimation risks prolonging dependence on fossil fuels and delaying meaningful climate action. In response to these criticisms, the ICCT has been called upon to adopt rigorous internal methodological reviews, subject their hydrogen-related analyses to thorough external peer reviews, and prominently display sensitivity analyses in their LCAs to ensure policymakers understand the substantial impact of differing assumptions.
The controversy surrounding the ICCT's hydrogen assessments is not limited to road vehicles. The ICCT's analyses in maritime shipping also underestimate liquefaction costs, assume low prices for liquid hydrogen, and overlook substantial infrastructure challenges in scaling hydrogen as a shipping fuel. These issues highlight the complexities and challenges in assessing the environmental impact of different technologies and the need for ongoing refinement in lifecycle analyses.
- The solar power industry is closely monitoring the ongoing debate over hydrogen's climate impact, considering hydrogen-related analyses by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT).
- Some experts suggest that the ICCT's policy towards green hydrogen, particularly in light of hydrogen leakage and supply chain emissions concerns, warrants reevaluation.
- In the realm of environmental science, the rising popularity of electric vehicles (EVs) and renewable energy has opened up new avenues for discussions, with many podcasts exploring the role of green hydrogen in charging EVs.
- Finance experts are weighing in on the costs and benefits of investing in hydrogen infrastructure, evaluating the risks associated with hydrogen leakage and its impact on lifecycle emissions.
- As data-and-cloud-computing advances, scientists are developing more accurate models to assess the environmental impact of various energy sources, aiming to address the complexities and challenges in supply chain analysis, such as hydrogen leakage.
- Critics argue that the ICCT's approach to hydrogen may skew the newsletters' energy sector coverage, creating a misleading view of hydrogen's potential as a renewable energy source, particularly when compared to batteries.
- In the broader context of climate-change mitigation, technology plays a pivotal role in the future of renewable energy, with the renewable-energy industry acknowledging the need for innovation to drive down hydrogen leakage rates.
- Amidst the controversy, environmental-science initiatives are emphasizing the importance of rigorous analysis and research to ensure accurate, unbiased assessments of hydrogen's role in the energy sector, supporting meaningful climate action.