Stock Market Shifts into Late Bull Phase, Possible Bitcoin Spike to $141,000
In the current market landscape, Bitcoin is experiencing a steady rise in fresh capital, with institutional buying playing a significant role. Popular crypto analyst Axel Adler Jr. has determined that the ongoing rally has more room to grow.
The surge in institutional interest, fueled by the SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs and favourable regulatory moves, has been reminiscent of pre-2020 rallies but on a larger scale. This institutional demand, combined with the ongoing bull run, supports a continued bullish trend.
Historical market indicators suggest that if institutional buying continues at pre-2020 rally levels, Bitcoin's price could potentially push beyond $200,000 by the end of 2025 or soon after. This prediction is based on Bitcoin's predictable halving-driven cycles, where the price surges about one to one-and-a-half years after the halving event. The latest halving was in April 2024, and Bitcoin is currently in the latter phase of the ongoing bull run expected to peak around September 2025.
Third-party price forecasts, taking into account the institutional buying momentum and historical patterns, predict an average price of around $223,000 in 2025. Some bullish analysts even project prices much higher in the longer term, with targets between $700,000 and $1.5 million by 2030 and beyond.
Interestingly, Bitcoin's price is closely correlated with major risk assets. As institutional capital flows into broader markets and crypto remains part of institutional portfolios, the positive momentum could sustain. The cyclical nature of the market, with accumulation, growth, and bubble phases, indicates that sustained institutional buying could push Bitcoin further into the bubble phase, driving prices higher than previous peaks.
However, it's important to note that other factors, such as the Federal Reserve's macroeconomic pressure and the cautious stance among traders due to the lack of clarity on potential rate cuts, could affect Bitcoin's momentum.
As of July 2025, Bitcoin's market cap stands at $2.26 trillion, while the volume of Bitcoin traded in the last 24 hours is $49.46 billion. The volume of Bitcoin traded indicates a strong and consistent interest from both institutional and retail investors, as spot Bitcoin ETFs saw outflows on only seven days in the past two months.
On-chain analytics firm Santiment reported the whale accumulation of Bitcoin, with whales acquiring 218,570 BTC, about 0.9% of the circulating supply, since late March. Old holders have not yet begun selling aggressively, and new investor dominance stands at just 30%.
In conclusion, if institutional buying continues at or above pre-2020 rally intensity amid favourable market conditions and halving-induced scarcity, Bitcoin's price target could realistically exceed $200,000 in 2025 with potential to reach several hundred thousand dollars or more in the coming years. However, it's crucial to keep in mind the potential impact of macroeconomic factors on Bitcoin's momentum.
Technology has played a significant role in the surge of institutional interest in Bitcoin, as the SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs and favorable regulatory moves have made it more accessible for institutional investors. On the other hand, this increased interest in Bitcoin, combined with the ongoing bull run and historical market indicators, points towards opportunities in investing in this digital asset.
